I don’t often write follow-up posts about ideas I post on the blog. When I have done in the past it was usually because I sold at a loss.
Today I think it’s appropriate to write an update about my investment in MTI Wireless Edge. Mainly because I responded to a comment on that original post a couple of days ago, when I was still long the stock, but it’s also nice to write about an investment that worked out well.
I decided to sell my shares today, but it was not a result of the comment or my response. The stock price simply moved up.
MTI Wireless reported results today: http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail.html?announcementId=11870109.
The company has regained profitability and reported a $426k profit for the year 2013, compared to a loss of $246k in 2012. Before today, the stock had already moved up since my initial post after reporting a decent 3rd quarter and after reporting a $1m contract win in early January. In today’s announcement the company also declared a $0.68 dividend, payable on April 4th, 2014. The expectation that a dividend payment would improve investor sentiment a bit was one of reasons I bought this stock.
When I bought MTI Wireless it was trading at a price of 6.80p and a little below 0.60x NCAV. After today’s results the stock is trading around 11p. I sold my shares at 10.85p. NCAV today stands at $10.64m. At 10.85p the company was valued at $9.31m and trading around 0.87x NCAV.
When to sell a stock is pretty hard to determine. MTI Wireless was never a high conviction stock in the first place and I therefore made my position small. There are some things that I don’t like about MTI. The main one is it’s relationship with MTI Computers, which owns 52% of MTI Wireless and has been losing money for years. Also, the earnings record of the last five years is pretty bad, although the company traded pretty close to break-even levels in most years, revenues had stabilized and it was not burning cash. I never thought this was a great company, but things weren’t as bad as the market price implied either.
Taking all this into account, I think today’s price is probably reasonable. I don’t have the conviction to hold the stock at this point. If MTI Wireless can regain its former profitability (in the years 2006 and 2007 the company made around $4m), today’s price will look like an absolute steal and I will look like an idiot. I have no idea if they can do that though.
MTI Wireless was a cigar-butt investment for me. I bought at a very depressed price and decided to sell now that the price and the sentiment is a little less depressed. After taking into account fees and exchange rates my return is 61.8%. I held the stock for just over 4 months. I didn’t anticipate selling so quickly, but I do think that taking the “free puff” and moving on is the right thing to do for me.
Disclosure: no position in MTI Wireless Edge
“MTI Wireless was a cigar-butt investment for me.”
Those are the beat kind, if you ask me. They’re some of the largest/consistent profits value investors can make.
Congrats on the nice return!
Evan
Thanks. Stock up again today and some trades at 13p and higher. At 13p the company is trading at $11.2m and above NCAV.
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